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Promus Ventures

Newsletter #1: New SPAC listings, high redemption rates

Several companies that we consider as part of the New Space ecosystem have recently debuted on the public markets.


New Space Activity


Deep-tech eVTOL companies Archer Aviation and Lilium both completed their SPAC mergers. Archer Aviation listed on the NYSE under the ticker ACHR on September 17, while Lilium listed on Nasdaq under the ticker LILM on September 15. In addition, the earth observation satellite constellation operator BlackSky listed on the NYSE on September 10, under the ticker BKSY.

Archer Aviation's Landing Air Taxi

These SPAC deals have experienced relatively high redemption rates - 48% for Archer 65% for Lilium sand 67% for BlackSky. Furthermore, Archer Aviation’s valuation was renegotiated in August, as additional proof of challenges associated with SPAC transactions. As a result of high redemption rates, the trading in these stocks ends up being technical and liquidity-driven as opposed to focusing on the underlying assets' fundamentals. We will continue to monitor redemption rates in emerging New Space companies as they move through their SPAC transactions.

Earnings Reports


Rocket Lab, one of the companies tracked in our New Space index, reported financial results for the first six we basically shortened months of 2021 on September 8th. The company reported revenue of $29.5M, representing 237% Year-on-Year revenue growth, with GM at 13%. Backlog grew 136% Year-on-Year to $141.4 million as of June 30, 2021 as compared to backlog of $59.9 million as of June 30, 2020.


 

Share Price Movements

The top performing new space companies in our index, from a share price perspective, in the last two weeks are highlighted below, followed by the top five legacy space companies that we are tracking.


New Space Companies - Top Five Share Price Performers


Legacy Companies - Top Five Share Price Performers


 

Revenue Multiples

As many of the newly listed New Space companies currently do not report meaningful revenue multiples (either forward or backward looking) we caveat that the revenue multiple numbers below should be considered carefully. As revenue multiple data becomes more meaningful for the New Space ecosystem it will allow for more in-depth analysis and comparison with the Legacy space ecosystem.


New Space Companies - TTM Revenue Multiples


Legacy Space Companies - TTM Revenue Multiples


New Space Companies - Forward (FY2021) Revenue Multiples

Legacy Space Companies - Forward (FY2021) Revenue Multiples


*All market data from end of day Tuesday, 10/26/2021

 

Promus Ventures invests in early-stage deep tech startups solving complex problems to advance everyday lives across the world. Some of Promus Ventures’ other leading portfolio investments include Rocket Lab (Nasdaq: RKLB), Whoop, Spire (NYSE: SPIR), Mapbox, ICEYE, Bellabeat, Swift Navigation, AngelList, Behavox, Gauss Surgical, Figure Eight, Isotropic Systems, Halter, Cobalt, Safehub, and numerous others.


Recipients of this post are not to construe it as investment, legal, or tax advice, and it is not intended to provide the basis for any evaluation of an investment in any fund. Prospective investors should consult with their own legal, investment, tax, accounting, and other advisors to determine the potential benefits, burdens, and risks associated with making an investment in any fund.


Promus Ventures is a trademark of Promus Holdings, LLC. Used under license.

Copyright 2021 Promus Ventures, all rights reserved.


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